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Tyche Institute

Experiments & cultural artefacts

Lab

Before the Institute, there was the Random Research Lab — a quieter name for the same instinct: that the goddess Τύχη, fortune and chance, sits at the root of cryptography and that the work most worth doing sometimes starts in a corner with a notebook rather than on the front page. The Lab is where that instinct still lives.

For peer-reviewable working papers and formal research output, see Research. This page collects the lab side: experiments, essays, and publications adjacent to the Institute's technical mission.

EN / RU / ET · interactive 3D tutorial · how GPT works

microGPT 3D Tutorial

A trilingual, browser-side 3D walkthrough of Karpathy's ~150-line microGPT — a complete GPT small enough that nothing is hand-waved: live attention beams, gradients flowing backward through a draggable graph, and a temperature slider on real generation. Adapted for junior AI researchers, with a foundations primer and glossary. Based on microgpt-3d-tutorial by lxb12123 (MIT).

Visit microgpt.tyche.institute →

RU / EN / ET · interactive study guide · adaptive education

Bayesian Knowledge Tracing Study Guide

A trilingual, interactive guide to Bayesian Knowledge Tracing, adaptive task selection, explainability, and classroom heatmaps — a safer flagship case for attestable educational AI where teachers remain in control and recommendations can leave replayable evidence.

Visit bkt-study-guide.tyche.institute →

RU / EN / ET · literary publication · public-key infrastructure

PKI-ZEN

A trilingual sūtra about certificates, YAML, and almost-enlightenment — a cultural companion to Tyche's technical work on trust infrastructure.

Visit pki-zen.tyche.institute →

EN · open-data ML · water-quality risk

H2O Atlas

A probabilistic risk estimator for Estonian water-quality compliance, built on Terviseamet open data. It originated as a TalTech Masinõpe (spring 2026) coursework project and continues as a Tyche-side testbed for EATF — a transparency tool, not a health advisory.

Visit h2oatlas.ee →

Simulations

Public model sandboxes

These are exploratory synthetic simulations for asking better questions, not prediction engines or policy advice. They expose assumptions, scenario branches, and country-level sensitivity so a reader can see how conclusions change when parameters move.

synthetic wellbeing simulation · country replay · AI futures

Happy Scenario Atlas

An interactive explorer for Tyche's synthetic wellbeing simulations. It lets readers replay country, regional, and world-level scenarios for human flourishing and agentic-AI futures, using filters for harm risk, fragility, and modeled suffering effects.

The public build is refreshed from the institute's long-running simulation experiments, so the atlas can absorb new scenario evidence as the work continues.

Open happy.eatf.eu →

Emerging research labs

New lines under formation

These labs are early-stage research programmes rather than finished publications. They name the questions Tyche is beginning to organize into source maps, datasets, and future papers.

public lab · X-Road · carrier-bound AI evidence

X-Road AI Evidence Lab

A reproducible lab on carrier-bound AI evidence: whether governed data-exchange infrastructure such as X-Road can carry and witness independently verifiable evidence about AI-agent actions.

The first public bundle is deposited on Zenodo. The next phase follows X-Road 8's shift toward dataspaces, verifiable credentials, cloud deployment, monitoring, and metrics.

Open lab note →

emerging lab · literature maps · dataset provenance

Literature + Dataset Evidence Lab

A curation line for turning thesis-scale crawling into publication-grade source packs: literature, datasets, proceedings, standards, regulatory material, source quality, reuse constraints, and citation readiness.

The first internal milestone is a source-family taxonomy and a dataset inventory with license, provenance, update cadence, and paper relevance.

emerging lab · AI governance readiness · Estonia-first

PALLAS — Country AI-Readiness Lab

A country-comparison line for AI-readiness as evidence infrastructure: legal basis, competent authorities, sandboxes, standards participation, algorithm registers, digital identity, PKI, cybersecurity, procurement, and auditability.

The first worked case is Estonia, followed by a Europe-first and then global comparison.